储能科学与技术

• 储能科学与技术 •    

锂离子电池功率状态预测方法研究进展

李鹏举1(), 陈晓宇1, 谢佳2, 沈佳妮1(), 贺益君1   

  1. 1.上海交通大学化学化工学院,上海 200240
    2.华中科技大学电气与电子工程学院,湖北 武汉 430074
  • 收稿日期:2025-06-10 修回日期:2025-07-07
  • 通讯作者: 沈佳妮 E-mail:lipengju@sjtu.edu.cn;jennyshen@sjtu.edu.cn
  • 作者简介:李鹏举(2001—),男,硕士研究生,从事电池功率状态预测研究,E-mail:lipengju@sjtu.edu.cn
  • 基金资助:
    国家重点研发计划项目:高功率锂离子电池储能技术(2022YFB2404800);国家自然科学基金项目:储能系统微小内短路电池识别方法研究(22378259)

Research Progress on State of Power Prediction Methods for Lithium-ion Batteries

Pengju LI1(), Xiaoyu CHEN1, Jia XIE2, Jiani SHEN1(), Yijun HE1   

  1. 1.School of Chemistry and Chemical Engineering, Shanghai JiaoTong University, Shanghai 200240, China
    2.School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, Hubei Province, China
  • Received:2025-06-10 Revised:2025-07-07
  • Contact: Jiani SHEN E-mail:lipengju@sjtu.edu.cn;jennyshen@sjtu.edu.cn

摘要:

随着锂离子电池的广泛应用,电池功率状态(State of Power, SOP)预测作为保障电池高效、安全运行的关键技术,其重要性日益凸显。本文系统综述了SOP预测方法,对查表法、机理模型法、等效电路模型法和数据驱动法四类方法进行了梳理,并对模组SOP预测进行了探讨。查表法简单直接,但需要多次充放电实验、时间成本较高、使用工况单一;机理模型法基于多孔电极理论和浓溶液理论,通过偏微分方程精确描述电池内部反应机制,可对电池内部参数进行考量,但计算复杂度高;等效电路模型法采用电路元件模拟电池动态响应,易与电压、电流、荷电状态等参数约束结合,兼顾精度与计算效率;数据驱动法利用机器学习算法直接从运行数据构建SOP预测模型,或结合传统机理模型构建混合模型实施SOP预测,预测性能依赖于数据质量和数量。在模组SOP预测方面,重点阐述了电池不一致性对模组功率的影响,并对其解决思路进行了分析。最后,对现有挑战和未来发展方向进行总结。当前SOP预测技术仍面临四个主要挑战:一是应用于储能场景时存在局限性;二是预测精度和计算效率难以满足应用需求;三是电池老化过程中易发生模型失配问题,影响预测精度;四是模组层面电池一致性差异,增加了预测难度。为应对上述挑战,未来SOP预测技术将朝着高精度建模和求解策略优化、模型参数与约束边界动态更新以及“短板电池识别—特征单体建模—模型参数动态更新”等方向发展,为储能系统提供更安全、更高效的电池管理解决方案。

关键词: 锂离子电池, 电池管理系统, 电池模型, 功率状态预测

Abstract:

With the widespread application of lithium-ion batteries, State of Power (SOP) prediction has become increasingly crucial as a key technology to ensure efficient and safe battery operation. This paper provides a comprehensive review of SOP prediction methods, analyzing four main approaches: map-based methods, mechanism model methods, equivalent circuit model (ECM) methods and data-driven methods. Additionally, the prediction of module-level SOP is discussed. The map-based method is straightforward. However, it requires multiple charge and discharge experiments, which are time-consuming and limit its applicability to single operating conditions. The mechanism model method, based on porous electrode theory and concentrated solution theory, can accurately describe internal battery reactions through partial differential equations. This method can account for the impact of internal battery parameters on power performance, but it comes with a relatively high computational complexity. The equivalent circuit model method employs circuit components to simulate the dynamic responses of batteries. This method can integrate multiple constraints, including voltage, current, and state of charge (SOC), to optimize performance while balancing accuracy and computational efficiency. The data-driven method leverages machine learning techniques, such as neural networks and support vector machines, to construct SOP prediction models directly from running data. It can also integrate with traditional mechanistic models to form hybrid architectures, where the prediction performance is contingent upon both data quality and quantity. For module-level SOP prediction, this paper highlights the impact of cell inconsistency on module power and discusses potential solutions. Finally, existing challenges and future development directions are summarized. Current SOP prediction technologies still face four major challenges: (1) Existing methods struggle to meet the specific requirements of energy storage scenarios. (2) The prediction accuracy and computational efficiency fail to meet the requirements of practical applications. (3) Battery aging introduces time-varying parameters, leading to model mismatches. (4) inconsistencies among battery modules exacerbate prediction difficulties. To address these challenges, future SOP prediction technologies will advance in several key areas, including high-precision modeling and optimization of solution strategies, dynamic updating of model parameters and constraint boundaries, and the development of approaches such as "weak cell identification—characteristic cell modeling—dynamic model parameter updates." These advancements will provide safer and more efficient battery management solutions for energy storage systems.

Key words: Lithium-ion battery, battery management system, battery model, state of power prediction

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